|
Asia Society AustralAsia
Centre
Opportunity International Australia
Asia Foreign Policy Update Luncheon
Sydney , 3 September 2003
Keynote address by
The Hon FIDEL VALDEZ RAMOS
Former President of the Republic of Philippines
Eight years ago, the Philippines acceded to the
world trade organization ( WTO). By that landmark act, we embraced
the trade-related aspects of globalization. today, with the benefit
of hindsight, i ask myself -- knowing what i know now -- would i
have taken the Philippines to join the WTO just the same? My answer
is -- yes -- definitely yes -- but now we must think back and determine
what are globalization's hidden and, possibly, damaging dimensions
in order that the world community can more responsibly respond to
them in order to win a better future.
Politicians, economists, and security
experts have dissected, debated and elaborated upon the nature,
applications and effects of globalization. but regardless of their
respective opinions and ideological inclinations, it appears that
they agree on one thing: that in the context of the realities and
relationships of the 21st century, globalization is extremely complex
even as almost everyone accepted from the beginning the simple definition
that globalization as being merely the elimination of barriers to
free trade and the removal of restrictions to the movement of capital
in order to promote deeper integration of national economies into
the global system.
By that simpler definition, globalization
could only pose benefits, not perils, for all. However, as practiced,
globalization is far from being universally fair and beneficial.
The key question, however, is: are these gains now enjoyed by a
great number of suffering people in the world, or by only an elitist,
uncaring minority?
Under a regime of increasingly open
and liberal trade, the Philippines posted faster growth in terms
of exports, averaging a 19.5% increase annually during the period
1994-1997 -- one of the fastest in our region despite the financial
crisis of 1997-1998. Through its tariff reduction program, the country
kept pace with the target to limit to zero to 5 percent tariffs
for most of its tradable goods. Already, more than 85% of the country's
total tariff lines are within this target range.
The Philippines adopted necessary safety nets for vulnerable sectors
and measures to enhance its global competitiveness, increase and
sustain agriculture productivity, improve infrastructure for speedy
movement of goods and services, foster pollution management and
sustainable development of natural resources, and accelerate science
and technology efforts to support our programs towards globalization.
All these, the Philippines did in the name of globalization and
international competitiveness.
Poverty: the increasing gap
Although successive Philippine administrations, including mine,
helped reduce poverty incidence from the high mark of 1985 at 41+%
to 30% by 1998, the numbers today are still troubling. While the
Philippine economy was considered the best performing in southeast
Asia in 2002 -- except for Vietnam -- and the third best performing
in all of east Asia, the country still has more than 5 million people
out of work.
These figures notwithstanding, the
Philippines' economic fundamentals remain sound, and the country
enjoys predictable growth to ensure steady prices, low inflation,
adequate liquidity, and funding for development initiatives. The
Philippines is committed to good governance and to long-term structural
reforms leading to continued strength in domestic demand, diversification
of trade, and a hospitable environment for investment.
The poverty situation in the Philippines
may be seen as a microcosm of what is happening among the developing
and the least developed countries around the world. Statistics show
that in the last 10 years of the 20th century, the actual number
of people living in poverty increased by at least several hundred
millions at the same time that total world income actually increased
by an average of 2.5 percent annually.
In stark terms, therefore, the poor
have become poorer and the rich have become richer. A famous comparison
recently made is that the western European nations continue to subsidize
their cows at us$2.50 per head -- which is more than 2.5 times what
1.2 billion people live on at less than one u.s. dollar a day. Figures
released by the UNDP in its human development report ( HDR) in 2002
draw a similar picture of increasing poverty for a vast number of
people in the face of economic growth for a few.
The plain truth is that a great majority
of humankind is being deprived of their rights to human security,
bereft of the benefits of education, primary health services, decent
housing, basic education, and gainful livelihood• poverty
is inextricably bound together with the other key issues of the
environment, peace and development, and globalization.
In the competition for greater material wealth, most people have
accepted some dictums without question, not realizing that what
is medicine for one may be poison for another. To an unprepared
society, a liberalized policy may lead to a long-term net loss not
only in incomes, but also in social costs. Liberalization has been
a bitter pill backward countries had to swallow -- only to discover,
with tragic effects, that is not the cure they were looking for.
"Have-not" countries continue to be faced with problems
in the implementation of their obligations under the WTO agreement.
Because of liberalization in the industrial,
services and agricultural sectors, many developing countries face
dislocation of local industries, products and services as these
are generally small- or medium-sized and, therefore, are unable
to compete with larger multinationals or foreign companies that
are able to market cheaper imports due to economies of scale.
Developed countries and the special
interests within them have campaigned for the globalization agenda
over the years. They have pushed for open markets for their industrial
goods in poor countries but have, just the same, maintained their
own protectionist systems, especially on agricultural products•
from the point of view of the have-nots, the current levels of protectionism
in developed countries are scandalous.
For instance, OECD member-countries
reportedly spend over us$350 billion every year to protect their
agriculture sectors -- or almost us$ one billion each day -- far
more than the total us$50 billion devoted to development assistance
to poor countries. In their mistaken belief that "one-size
fits all" and their unrelenting focus on economic growth and
financial stability, multilateral institutions and donor countries
have imposed conditionality that are beyond the capability of poor
countries to handle.
On the other hand, in their desire
to accelerate domestic sufficiency and economic growth, many developing
countries have embraced liberalization -- unsuspecting of its pitfalls
and certain rules of the game definitely not to their favor. Their
insufficient institutional capacities have been compounded by abusive
or incompetent governance, a sheer lack of resources, or a combination
of all these.
Human security and international
terrorism
The inequity and the unfairness of it all have led to civil wars,
insurgency, ethnic cleansing, violent crimes, strong-man regimes,
international terrorism -- a virtual explosion of threats to human
security -- whose dimensions may have been neglected or overlooked
in the quest for globalization, and whose inescapable result is
increasing poverty.
At the beginning of the 20th century,
people seemed to believe that the growth of economic interdependence,
technological progress and social connectivity would bring about
future decades of peace and security. Tragically, the 20th century
turned out to be one of the bloodiest centuries in human experience.
UNDP's human development report for
1993 (hdr-1993) states that "human security reflects a condition
that recognizes the centrality of basic human rights, human capabilities,
human development and their links to world peace and stability."
Human security means protecting people from critical and pervasive
threats and situations. It involves creating political, social,
environmental, economic, cultural and public safety systems that
together give people the building blocks for survival, livelihood
and dignity in their hopes for a better quality of life.
The twin goals of " peace and
development" probably describe best mankind's immediate as
well as long-term aspirations. On the other hand, a new dimension
of development -- which is human security -- has emerged, as advocated
by Sadako Ogata, former UN High Commissioner for Refugees, and Amartya
Sen, Nobel Prize awardee for development economics.
According to them, human security
is concerned with safeguarding and expanding people's vital freedoms.
It partakes both of protecting people from critical and pervasive
threats and of empowering people to take charge of their own lives.
Protection refers to the norms, policies and institutions essential
to shield people and requires governments to exercise "top-down"
vigilance, especially in insuring the rule of law, democratic governance
and public safety.
The "democratization of technology"
is equipping the terrorist with a frighteningly sophisticated and
powerful array of skills and weapons unimaginable a decade ago.
The "democratization of technology" has been diffusing
power away from governments, and enabling fanatic individuals and
conspirational groups to play powerful roles in world politics --
including that of inflicting massive destruction -- a capability
once reserved to government and their armed forces.
To globalization and other forces
transforming national societies, we must now add the power of terrorism.
Terrorism has privatized even war -- as we can see from Osama bin
Laden's jihad against the whole of western Christendom. It no longer
takes another super-power to pose a grave threat even to the American
giant. The specter of asymmetric warfare, of which terrorism is
its most visible aspect, will be with us for the next several years.
We Filipinos have long been acquainted
with terrorism. Our citizenry, in fact, have been among its first
victims in the post-cold war era. Islamist extremists have struck
in many places in Mindanao and other parts of the Philippines. Local
insurgents and separatists apparently have linked up with an extremist
movement active in all the Muslim communities of southeast Asia
-- which has a grandiose program to unite parts of Indonesia, Malaysia
and the Philippines into one Islamic state. Islamic terrorists regard
themselves as fighting to establish a global community of believers
that -- as in the days of Arab glory, more than a thousand years
ago -- would be governed by the Koran and ruled by a "successor"
to the prophet Mohammed, or caliph, who would possess both temporal
and spiritual powers. But this myth of a return to Islamic purity
is as propagandistic and as illusory as Hitler’s dream of
a thousand-year Reich or Stalin’s vision of a classless society.
Islamic fundamentalism, however, may
finally exhaust itself, since it lacks the intellectual resources
capable of giving the Muslim peoples the civilizational vigor they
need to compete on equal terms with the modern and secular west.
To avert the "clash of civilizations" that some thinkers
see as impending, world leaders are promoting a "dialogue of
civilizations" being encouraged by the united nations and promoted
by the ecumenism of Pope John Paul II.
Obviously, a "dialogue of civilizations"
will be drawn-out and complicated. But i think it is tremendously
important as a parallel mechanism to conventional diplomacy at a
time when religious, cultural, and civilizational affiliations have
all became potential and even active sources of global tension and
conflict.
Globalization and culture
The globalization of culture is also fanning the flames of discontent
and anti-American resentment across the world. Globalization is
associated with the spread of the less savory aspects of western
pop culture -- commercialism, consumerism, hedonism -- a catalog
of isms and drug abuse are perceived in many quarters of the developing
world as an assault on their traditional customs and values, particularly
among Muslim communities, including in the Philippines.
There are deep cultural reasons for
anti-American sentiments that are rising in some parts of the globe.
Obviously, for much of the third world, America has come to personify
all the western powers that created empires during the period of
colonization -- whose influence on their developing societies has
been so strong and so disruptive over these last 500 years.
Anti-Americanism is also being driven
by the fear that the world is being "Americanized." cultural
globalization has hit some poor countries harder than economic globalization
has done. In such countries, American customs and values -- which
are the dominant strains in the intrusive internationalist culture
-- are fast spreading, especially among young people, through the
mass media and the internet.
Traditionalist peoples see these alien
values and customs as threatening the conservative culture and lifestyles
they want to preserve, and this perception is stimulating a reactive
kind of anti-foreignism, which is awakening a religious revival
throughout the Muslim world. In other places -- as china and India
-- anti-Americanism stimulates rising middle-class nationalism.
And -- let's face it -- anti-Americanism
is also being facilitated by what the New Yorker magazine calls
a "national appetite for global swaggering." cultural
fears raised by McDonald’s ubiquitous outlets, pop music and
CNN dominating the air waves, plus recycled Hollywood movies --
which are the global icons advertising America’s presence
-- do exaggerate America’s global influence. Indeed, the unrelenting
dominance of the western media and commercialism has widened, instead
of reduced, the gaps between the rich and the poor.
Let me now say a few words about other
needed reforms in the free market system.
As a founding member of the policy
advisory commission of the world intellectual property organization
( WIPO-PAC), i have strongly advocated that the rich and developed
nations help reduce and eventually neutralize global terrorism by
sharing their intellectual property consisting of inventions, innovations,
creations and research and development ( R&D) products with
the poor countries whose backward conditions provide the breeding
grounds for extremism, fanaticism, criminal violence, and suicidal
behavior.
At the third meeting of the WIPO-PAC
in Geneva last October 11, 2001, i reiterated the importance of
caring, sharing and daring among nations in pushing forward the
frontiers of universal peace and development. Caring and sharing
are probably easy enough to do -- but daring to forego profits and
royalties, daring to give more to the environment than take from
it, and daring to sacrifice for the common good may be more difficult
to do.
For instance, those discoveries and
technologies which would be beneficial to the improvement of health,
prolongation of life, facilitation of education, enhancement of
the environment, and reduction of poverty should be transferred
expeditiously and affordably to the "have-not" peoples
-- even as WIPO recognizes the need to protect and reward the innovations
and inventions of creative people and institutions (which largely
come from the affluent countries).
In my view, bridging the deepening
gaps in family income, health, security, environmental conditions,
social mobility, job opportunities, and material comforts among
people around the world would significantly remove the root causes
of insurgency, separatism, civil war, and armed conflict, to include
the hopelessness that breeds suicide-bombers.
Summing up
Notwithstanding the hard lessons of the recent past, i believe the
course most countries, including the Philippines, have taken in
joining the WTO was the right one. Globalization is here to stay,
but there is much we can do to manage and refashion it into something
that better serves humanity. The interplay of the actors in globalization
must be orchestrated so that all will aim not only for economic
growth and financial stability but also for people empowerment in
terms of equal access to opportunity, social justice and human security
in its widest sense.
Governments must face up to their
responsibility to function with transparency and efficiency, and
strive for governance that combines economic development, environmental
protection and human security. Developing countries must reassess
their liberalization policies and endeavor to strike a balance among
the roles of the state and the market, and the needs of the poor.
Mainstreaming trade into the wider development agenda of reducing
poverty should be a central consideration.
In this regard, the Doha round can
truly become a "development round" if there is greater
coherence and convergence of policies among international economic
institutions -- such as the WTO, World Bank, IMF, and the WIPO --
so that trade is mainstreamed in the development agenda and, therefore,
capacity-building can be focused, targeted and achieved. It is also
essential to review special and differential treatment being espoused
by the affluent nations beyond just the time-phasing of commitments•
capacity-building and sufficient flexibility to pursue domestic
development goals are equally essential.
Today, the challenge before our countries
is for them to grasp the opportunities globalization presents --
while working together to minimize our shared vulnerabilities to
its risks. Ultimately, the countries best able to take full advantage
of globalization will be those that cultivate open societies, free
economies and democratic governance.
In the world of the future, every
state will need increasingly to work within the framework of a global
market, to attain the kinder world to which mankind aspires. To
that end, the response mechanisms of the free market will probably
be better-suited than the formally legalistic and treaty-bound decisions
of governments.
Functionally distinct components of
each nation-state should link up more and more with their foreign
counterparts -- forming a dense web of sectoral networks that will
eventually make up a veritable trans-governmental order. Likewise,
the GO-NGO partnership between government agencies and non-government
organizations and civil society would most likely deepen and broaden
for the overall equitable distribution of benefits.
In the Asia-pacific region, globalization
opens up tremendous possibilities for genuine integration and political/security
cooperation -- as the forces of modernization compel even once-isolated
states (like China, North Korea, Vietnam, Myanmar and Laos) to conform
more closely to international norms and practices in civil liberties
and human rights.
Like the open market alongside it,
true democracy could become the most compelling quality of the new
age -- as powerless people claim their right to take their place
in the more bountiful table of the new global society. The empowerment
of ordinary people should, therefore, be our highest priority and
common vision. The structural reforms that states must undertake
-- to keep their economies competitive and reduce poverty -- will
unavoidably result in more effective democratic institutions.
Indeed, it is our unity as a community
of nations that cares, shares and dares for each other that would
bring us within easier reach of mankind's noblest goals. Civil society
-- the family, the community, the NGOs, the media, the churches,
etc. -- have vital roles in assisting the state in its task to improve
the conditions of each citizen and society itself.
In sum, the international community
must redouble its efforts to reshape the dimensions of globalization
in order to make them more equitable and beneficial for all. They
must be reconfigured towards a bias not only for reducing poverty
but also for the enhancement of human security. Further inaction,
indifference and/or complacency are not an option. Otherwise, it
may indeed be too late for humanity.
Thank and mabuhay -- best wishes!!!
|